Tuesday, September 22, 2020

Hurricane Center: Tropical Storm Josephine to pass to northeast of Caribbean

By on August 14, 2020

(Screen capture of https://www.nhc.noaa.gov)

SAN JUAN — The National Hurricane Center in Florida issued the following bulletin:

Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020
1100 PM AST Fri Aug 14 2020

…SATELLITE WIND DATA SHOW JOSEPHINE IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
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LOCATION…18.3N 57.4W ABOUT 375 MI…600 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 57.4 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days followed by a turn toward the northwest late this weekend or early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the weekend.

Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through Saturday. After that, Josephine is expected to weaken as it encounters unfavorable upper-level winds.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is possible in Puerto Rico through Monday.

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